Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.091500 0.101595 0.111831 0.122958 0.134685 0.146651 0.159758
2025-08-03 0.075162 0.090398 0.106502 0.124664 0.144458 0.165266 0.188688
2025-08-10 0.064523 0.083013 0.103234 0.126698 0.152911 0.181056 0.213328
2025-08-17 0.055833 0.076451 0.099697 0.127344 0.158868 0.193293 0.233343
2025-08-24 0.046717 0.068322 0.093462 0.124094 0.159711 0.199220 0.245794
2025-08-31 0.039428 0.061606 0.088219 0.121390 0.160651 0.204811 0.257462
2025-09-07 0.035157 0.058184 0.086549 0.122564 0.165797 0.214951 0.274069
2025-09-14 0.031912 0.055751 0.085830 0.124656 0.171838 0.225979 0.291573
2025-09-21 0.030056 0.054964 0.087022 0.128957 0.180411 0.239879 0.312334
2025-09-28 0.027215 0.052566 0.085963 0.130317 0.185331 0.249419 0.327985
2025-10-05 0.027624 0.054734 0.090833 0.139103 0.199263 0.269589 0.356032
2025-10-12 0.024577 0.051666 0.088628 0.138810 0.202016 0.276462 0.368502
2025-10-19 0.023231 0.051153 0.089973 0.143278 0.210940 0.291071 0.390553
2025-10-26 0.020641 0.048549 0.088375 0.143909 0.215130 0.300088 0.406136
2025-11-02 0.018742 0.046845 0.087897 0.145912 0.220975 0.311062 0.424026
2025-11-09 0.016642 0.044589 0.086493 0.146578 0.225051 0.319837 0.439257
2025-11-16 0.013646 0.040441 0.082114 0.143052 0.223634 0.321785 0.446204
2025-11-23 0.011167 0.036849 0.078312 0.140121 0.222830 0.324370 0.453820
2025-11-30 0.009922 0.035400 0.077626 0.141393 0.227399 0.333530 0.469337
2025-12-07 0.009006 0.034481 0.077687 0.143661 0.233234 0.344243 0.486729
2025-12-14 0.008645 0.034667 0.079453 0.148318 0.242201 0.358859 0.508878
2025-12-21 0.007705 0.033492 0.078999 0.149789 0.246951 0.368207 0.524617
2025-12-28 0.008306 0.035785 0.084148 0.159285 0.262340 0.390892 0.556659